Categories
China 中国情勢 Global Politics 国際政治 Global Voices 世界の声 Information and Media 情報とメディア Media and Journalism メディアとジャーナリズム US Policy and Politics 米国の制度と政治

米国大統領選と日本の未来

謎めいた開票作業を経て、ジョー・バイデン氏が勝利宣言を行いました。といってもトランプ大統領が複数の州で結果をめぐって提訴しているので、真の勝者は連邦最高裁が決めることになるのですが。ともあれ、どちらが次の大統領になったとしても、日米合同委員会のトップである第5空軍司令官に政治を押さえられている日本としては、大きな影響が出てきます。

日本人にとって一番の関心事は国防でしょう。周辺の国がここ数年脅威をもたらしている中、強固な日米同盟によって致命的な状態に陥らずに済んでいるわけで、これを適切に維持することが日本の生き残りの鍵となるわけです。アメリカの助けなく自力で生きることは不可能な国ですから。

バイデン氏は中国と強い結びつきがあると言われています。マイク・ペンス副大統領は副大統領討論会で「ジョー・バイデンはこれまで何十年もの間、中国共産党の応援者だ」といっていました。またバイデン氏の息子のハンター・バイデン氏は中国やウクライナから金銭を受け取ったとも言われています。これらの事実から、彼らが向こう4年間の東アジアの平和を危険にさらすのではないかと心配する日本人が多くいます。

「バイデンは中国と取引をして尖閣諸島を中国に渡すのでは?」と心配する日本人もいます。「中国や北朝鮮が攻めてきても、アメリカは知らん顔をするかもしれない」

ともあれ、ひとたびジョー・バイデン氏が次の米国大統領になったときは、日本のただ一つの取る道は、すぐにワシントンに飛び、日米同盟を堅持してインド太平洋地域の平和を守るように働きかけることでしょう。それをするのが菅総理の重要なミッションと思います。

Categories
China 中国情勢 Global Voices 世界の声 Information and Media 情報とメディア Media and Journalism メディアとジャーナリズム US Policy and Politics 米国の制度と政治

The next US President and Japan’s future

Joe Biden made a victory speech as the President-elect today after mysterious ballot-counting processes. However, the Supreme Court of the United States will decide who the real winner is because President Donald Trump is filing cases to courts of several States on the results. No matter which will be the next President of the United States, his policies will affect Japan a great deal because the Fifth Air Force Commander, the head of the US-Japan Joint Committee, actually controls Japan’s politics.

One of the significant concerns for the Japanese is the homeland security of our nation. Countries around Japan have repeatedly been threatening it for years, and the firm alliance between the United States and Japan has prevented it from falling into a deadly situation. Proper maintaining of the coalition between the two countries is the key for Japan to survive because it can’t stand alone without America’s help.

Some say that the new President-elect has strong ties with China, as Mike Pence said in the vice-presidential debate, “Joe Biden has been a cheerleader for communist China over the last several decades.” Others say that his son, Hunter Biden, received money from China and Ukraine. These facts make many Japanese people anxious that they may jeopardize East Asia’s peace in the next four years.

“Is Joe Biden going to make a deal with China to give the Senkaku Islands to it?” some Japanese are anxious. “Even if China or North Korea attacks Japan, America may pay no attention to it.”

Once Joe Biden becomes the next POTUS, Japan’s only option is to fly to Washington immediately to ask him to maintain the strong relationship between the United States and Japan to secure the US Forces Japan for keeping the peace in the Indo-Pacific region. To do it is Prime Minister Suga’s critical mission.

Categories
China 中国情勢 Emergent Democracy 新興国の民主主義 Global Politics 国際政治 Global Voices 世界の声 Human Rights 人権 Traveling 旅行 Yuki's Diary 日記

香港は死んだ

香港に初めて行ったのは2004年のことで、それ以来、すっかり気に入って、ここのブログでも何度もエントリを書いたり、フォートラベルの旅行記も書いたりするなど、リピーターになってしまっていました。

香港高跳日記~梅窩から中環・100万ドルの夜景、黄大仙、尖沙咀~(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698300

香港〜前年のリベンジで香港大仏、先達広場、新界、そして香港バタフライ〜(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698312

また香港行ってきました(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698329

香港からマカオに足をのばす(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698351
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698352

チョンキンマンションに泊まる蒸し風呂の夏の香港・深圳3泊4日の旅(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698357
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11718114

香港 ~銀座をブラブラ、大仏・大澳・太平山をめぐる旅~(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11718398

元気をもらいに香港弾丸旅行~Apple Watchもゲット~(フォートラベル)
https://4travel.jp/travelogue/11698375

香港の魅力というと、西洋菜南街の活気、旺角の先達廣場でのノキアのスマホ物色、ローストダックや亀ゼリー、HSBCの銀行口座、いろいろありますが、やはり、ちょっとゆるくて自由な雰囲気が一番だったと思います。気分が沈んだ時に元気をもらえるというか。

ということでかれこれもう8回訪港しています。

Categories
China 中国情勢 Emergent Democracy 新興国の民主主義 Global Politics 国際政治 Global Voices 世界の声 Human Rights 人権 Traveling 旅行 Yuki's Diary 日記

Hong Kong is dead

Visiting Hong Kong was one of my favorites since I made the first trip there in 2004. I did it eight times until now. I loved to stroll on Sai Yeung Choi Street South where people were very cheerful and energetic, to enjoy wonton noodles, steamed duck, and gwilinggao at restaurants, to get Nokia’s brand new and second-hand smartphones and accessories at mobile phone shops of the Sincere Podium building in Mong Kok, and to open and use a bank account of HSBC Hong Kong. I saw the Big Buddha at Ngong Ping, visited a prison museum at Stanley, stayed at a hotel of Chungking Mansions, worshipped at Che Kung Temple, had a fortune-telling session at Wong Tai Sin Temple, and extended my journey as far as Macau and Shenzhen. All the memories of those places were impeccable.

Categories
American Lifestyle 米国ライフスタイル Blogging about Blogging ブログ British Lifestyle 英国ライフスタイル Business and the Economy ビジネスと経済 China 中国情勢 Emergent Democracy 新興国の民主主義 Global Politics 国際政治 Global Voices 世界の声 Health and Medicine 健康と医療 Human Rights 人権 Japanese Culture 日本の文化 Japanese Politics 日本の政治 Manufacturing 製造業 People 人 Privacy プライバシー Reforming Japanese Democracy 民主主義改革 Traveling 旅行 US Policy and Politics 米国の制度と政治 Warblogging 戦争 Yuki's Diary 日記

第三次世界大戦の序章

令和二年は悪夢で始まったようです。正確に言うと年のはじめには、2ヶ月後にこうなってるなどと誰も予測し得なかったのです。言うまでもなく、いま世界全体が戦っているもの、つまりコロナウイルスの話です。

Categories
American Lifestyle 米国ライフスタイル British Lifestyle 英国ライフスタイル Business and the Economy ビジネスと経済 China 中国情勢 Emergent Democracy 新興国の民主主義 Global Politics 国際政治 Global Voices 世界の声 Human Rights 人権 Japanese Policy 日本の制度 Japanese Politics 日本の政治 People 人 Privacy プライバシー Reforming Japanese Democracy 民主主義改革 Traveling 旅行 US Policy and Politics 米国の制度と政治 Warblogging 戦争 Yuki's Diary 日記

Prelude to WWIII

The second year of the Reiwa period began with a nightmare. More precisely, at the beginning of the year, nobody could predict what would be going on just two months later. I am talking about what the entire world is fighting against—COVID-19.

The coronavirus outbreak has been an urgent global issue. It was just the case of people in a limited area of a particular country, or poor, rich travelers within a trapped gorgeous cruise ship in February. Only a few weeks later, however, it became the case relevant in most parts of the world. Now the situation is changing day by day. For days, thousands of people around the world have been newly hospitalized due to this disease. More than 10,000 patients have died from it in China, Japan, Iran, Italy, Spain, Germany, France, the United States, and more.

The World Health Organization declared a pandemic. Lockdown is underway in many cities and even nationwide in some countries. Going out for non-essential reasons is banned or discouraged. People are forced to stay home and keep six feet away from others so as not to be six feet under.

The lockdown has had a massive impact on the world economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by around 1,000 points this month with circuit breakers taking effect many times. The share price of Boeing has become less than a third for weeks. This financial crisis is even worse than those in the great depression in 1929.

That is true with Japan. Here in Tokyo, the governor stated that lockdown in Tokyo is likely because patients tested positive are increasing every day by more than the number of cases a day before. She requested Tokyoites for being home this weekend except for essential business.

People in Japan look afraid of a state of emergency being declared and lockdown being issued. I hate to say that, but I’m sure that these will be near. I think lockdown orders will be released in weeks or even in days because we see other civilized countries being already like this.

Lockdown being inevitable, how should we do? Most people will be forced to stay away from their workplaces, such as offices, farms, fishing grounds, milk plants, and factories. Then it is likely to run short of various things needed for daily life. As a result, the production of foods and groceries will be severely restricted.

Once supply cease, panic buying is likely to take place. This action must be blamed as antisocial behavior since not all households have enough money or means to get what they need. It will be difficult to supply daily necessities if panic buying occurs, because the distribution system will be burdened more than usual, and the distribution of domestic inventory will be unfair. Participating in such panic buying is nothing but not only exposing your low awareness of social solidarity, that is, lack of knowledge that society will not be established if we do our own things, but also proving that you have neglected to be prepared and save in case of an emergency.

We have no choice but to secure the needed supplies for the time being before lockdown takes effect. It would help us a lot to find out what people in countries where lockdown is already in place are doing.

This experience gives us the following important suggestions and lessons: the fact that even the most rights-sensitive liberal nations can easily and quickly control individual’s rights and freedom before the impending crisis. It means that, once an emergency happens, the rights of individuals are insignificant and vulnerable.

What is happening in front of us now seems like a dry run exercise for the third world war. I think it is likely to occur in the coming decades because it is a very similar situation where a big earthquake occurred in 1923, the world financial crisis in 1929, and WWII 12 years later. Likewise, the big earthquake and tsunami happened in 2011, and the economic crisis derived from the coronavirus epidemic eight years later. Now the world is divided. Each country is isolated and closing its borders. How many years is left for us to see those countries to collide?

The time is right to be prepared for in the future. Divide your assets into some pieces and save them in different countries. If possible, have multiple places to live and jobs in two or more countries. Having as many life options as possible will save you in this volatile future with many uncertainties.

Categories
Business and the Economy ビジネスと経済 Global Politics 国際政治 Global Voices 世界の声 Marketing マーケティング Yuki's Diary 日記

グローバル化の終わり

私が就職したのは、90年代終わりごろの「失われた10年」と言われた不況の時代の日本で、会社からよく「グローバルマインドを持て」と言われたものでした。

2000年までには、「グローバル」や「グローバル化」という言葉が、次なる新たなミレニアムを生き抜くためのキーワード(ときにはバズワード)として、ドットコムバブルとともにやってきました。当時は、TOEICのスコアを上げさせられたり、MECEだのSWOT分析だのロジカルシンキングの手法をマスターさせられたり、とにかく日本的な古いワークスタイルを廃して、グローバルな(といってもほとんどアメリカのですが)考え方に慣れるようにハッパをかけられたものです。

ところが2006年にライブドアショックがあり、IT長者たちが凋落していくのを目のあたりにすると、人は、アメリカ式のやり方ではうまくいかないと気づき、また日本を見直し始め、日本の良いものを再評価するようになりました。会社でも「日本品質」とか言い始めて、グローバルサービスよりもドメスティックなほうに目を向け始めたころでした。

2010年代になると、今までの内向き志向がまたぞろグローバルに向かい始め、日本企業がまた海外進出するようになりました。今度はアメリカだけじゃなく、インドや中国、ロシア、ブラジル、東南アジアやアフリカなどの第三世界に出て行って、会社のサービスもそういう企業のニーズや要望に沿うようなグローバルサービスが増えていきました。

また2010年代は移動の時代でもあり、LCCの台頭によって低価格で海外に行けるようになりました。外国と行き来する人を見ることはどこでも日常的になりました。

こうして見ると、グローバルとローカル、人々の志向は5~6年ごとに行ったり来たりしているように見えます。その伝でいくと、そういうグローバルな世界というのはもうそろそろ終わりそうに思います。今週、英国の国民投票でEU離脱を決めたのは、その最も象徴的なものではないでしょうか。ほかにもフランスやイタリア、スペインなど、移民の流入やそれに伴うヨーロッパ内のテロに悩まされている国で同様の動きがあると聞きます。

同様に、アメリカでも、ドナルド・トランプ氏が、国境に壁を造り、メキシコ人やイスラム教徒をシャットアウトしろと言って、保守的で比較的貧困層のアメリカ民衆から熱狂的な支持を受けています。対抗馬のヒラリー・クリントン氏でさえ、TPPには反対するなど、保護主義的な主張をしています。日本でも、旗を持った過激な愛国主義者たちが通りに繰り出し、隣国人は出て行けと言ってヘイトスピーチをするようになりました。

思うに、今は時代のターニング・ポイントで、これから「グローバルな世界」はなくなっていくでしょう。民衆は自分の国のことだけを考えるようになり、そこここで紛争や、場合によっては武力衝突が起こるかもしれません。これから5~6年、少なくともトランプ氏かヒラリー氏の大統領の任期の間はそうなると思います。できることは、そういう世界を傍観しながら、将来状況がどう変わっても対処できるように、選択肢をできるだけ多く持っておくことではないでしょうか。

Categories
Business and the Economy ビジネスと経済 Global Voices 世界の声 Japanese Culture 日本の文化 Marketing マーケティング

The end of globalisation

When I started my career in the late 1990s, my employer encouraged us to have a global mind to cope with Japan’s recession so-called “the lost decade”. By 2000, the words “global” and “globalisation” were used as the keywords — and sometimes buzzwords — for surviving the upcoming new millennium, followed by the dot-com bubble. My coworkers and I were pressured to raise TOEIC scores, to learn SWOT analysis, MECE, and other terms of logical thinking, to abandon obsolete Japanese work style and get accustomed to the global — in many cases American — way of thinking. 

In 2006, those ideas were changed. Seeing the Livedoor scandals and accompanying the downfall of dot-com millionaires, Japanese people found out that the American way did not work. Instead, they began taking a second look at their own country and reviewing the good things of it. The company I worked for focused on the products for domestic customers rather than overseas ones, with “the Japan quality” as its corporate philosophy.

Starting in the 2010s, people’s inward-oriented views were changing global again. Japanese enterprises were going out overseas, not only to the United States at that time but to the Third World such as India, China, Russia, Brazil, and Southeast Asian and African countries. I had more and more opportunities to get involved in the services offered to such customers going to those countries to meet their needs and demands.

The first half of the 2010s was the year of transportation. Low-cost carriers helped people fly abroad at low airfares. Everywhere you can see people travelling to and from all over the world regularly.

Yet you see that people’s favour of the global-oriented mind or the local-oriented one swings from side to side every five or six years. That being the case, such a globalised world will come to an end shortly. The event that happened this week in the United Kingdom showed that the most symbolically. The referendum determined the UK to leave the European Union it had joined in 1973. Other European countries like France, Italy, and Spain begin the preparation of such referendum whether they should leave or remain in the EU by some people tired of enormous numbers of immigrants from the Middle East and accompanying terrorist attacks occurring inside Europe. 

Likewise, in the United States, Donald Trump, saying that a wall should be built on the border to shut out Mexicans and Muslims, has the enthusiastic support of the conservative and relatively poor American population. Even Hillary Clinton, one of the rival candidates of Trump, says that she is against the US to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership. In Japan, some nationalistic extremists carrying patriotic flags with them are making a hate speech on the street, saying that the people from neighbouring countries should get out of Japan and go back to their own country.

I think that now is the turning point of the era and there will be no more “globalised World” from now on. People of each country will pay attention only inside their own country. A dispute or, in some cases, an armed clash may begin between some countries. Such an era will last five or six years, at least Trump or Clinton’s presidential term. What we can do right now might be to look at such the World and to have as many options as possible to be able to cope with the future fluctuation of circumstances.

Categories
Aviation 航空 British Lifestyle 英国ライフスタイル Eating and Cooking 食・料理 Global Voices 世界の声 Traveling 旅行 Yuki's Diary 日記

ロンドン散歩

ハワース散策からの続きです)

3日目の朝、雨の降る中、B&Bをチェックアウトしました。

平日なので蒸気機関車はやっておらず、B&Bの奥さんがロードン・ロードにある最寄りのバス停まで連れて行ってくれ、そこでキースリー行きのバスを待つようにと言ってくれました。

バスを待っていると、年配のご婦人が話しかけてきて、どこまで行くのかと尋ねられたので、「ロンドンまでです」と答えると、もう1人のご婦人が話に加わり、バスがくるまでの間、3人でお話してました。

Categories
British Lifestyle 英国ライフスタイル Eating and Cooking 食・料理 Global Voices 世界の声 Traveling 旅行 Yuki's Diary 日記

A walk in London

(Continued from A stroll in Haworth)

On the third day, I checked out of the Heathfield B&B on the rainy morning. Since it was a weekday, Keighley Worth & Valley Railway was out of service. The mistress took me to the nearest bus stop on Rawdon Road and told me to wait there for the bus for Keighley.

While waiting for the bus, an old lady talked to me. She asked me where I was going. I answered that I was going to London. Another lady joined us, and they and I talked a bit until the bus was coming.

On the bus, I sit on the upper front seat, and the ladies stayed downstairs. Arriving at Keighley bus terminus, I got out of the bus. The train station was a bit distant from the terminus, so I didn’t know how to get there.

Then the lady who had talked to me first at the Rawdon Road bus stop found me standing there, and told me to follow her to the train station as she was just going for shopping near there. How kind of her! I was able to get to the Keighley train station with her help.

Waiting room of Keighley station
Lunch